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Estimate the intrinsic fair value of any company using discounted cash flow analysis

ConocoPhillips (COP)

Energy | Oil & Gas Exploration & Production

Today's Price

$150.26

Today's Fair Value

$138.46 -7.85%

Margin of Safety

-8.52%

Projected Value (5Y)

$222.99 +48.4%

Dividends Paid (5Y)

$20.78

Scenario

Valuation Metric

Years To Project

Operating Income Growth Rate

Regression: 17.83% | CAGR (5y): 0%

Diluted Shares Growth Rate

Regression: 0.12% | CAGR (5y): 3.06%

Dividend Growth Rate

Regression: 3.79% | CAGR (5y): 13.94%

Exit Price Multiple

Capped at 18.00x (Historical 5y: 8.88x)

Discount Rate